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Friday, May 11, 2018

Jets Weakness May Be It’s Strength!

All during last season I was a big critic of the Jets offensive line. Going into free agency and the draft I fantasized the Jets would get Kirk Cousins, they would sign guard Andrew Norwell and draft guard Quentin Nelson. With these three and filling in the pieces, the Jets offense would be set for a few years. It didn’t work out that way. I was blown away that the Jets did not address the offensive line in the draft. Is the offensive line as bad as we all thought? Or does the coaching staff know something we don’t know? When you look a little closer at the offensive line situation, it may not appear as bleak as we all thought. In fact the Jets offensive line may turn out to surpass everyone’s expectations in 2018. They picked up a couple of free agents in centers Spencer Long and Travis Swanson. Both had injury issues but the Jets expect Long to be ready to go. If he is healthy, this is a definite upgrade from last year. Swanson may take longer as he is battling concussion issues. At left tackle Kelvin Beachum and right tackle Brandon Shell are the starters. At guards the Jets have James Carpenter on the left side and Brian Winters on the right. Tackle Ben Ijalana, guards Brent Qvale, Dakota Dozier and center Jonotthan Harrison make up the depth as the back-ups. Last year the offensive line looked weak as can be to Jet fans. Many thought center Wesley Johnson was the weak link. According to Pro Football Focus,  Johnson earned the lowest overall grade in 2017 among 35 qualified centers. This is not good. In fact I was all over James Carpenter the left guard last year because of his play but looking at the films closely, a lot had to do with Johnson’s man collapsing the line penetrating every which way. This is not to blame everything on Wesley Johnson and let Carpenter off the hook but the center position should be improved this year. James Carpenter must have a better season himself and hopefully he comes into camp in shape. He seemed overweight and slow last year. The good news is he is 29 years old. Kevin Beachum  was ranked 37th out of at least 64 tackles by Pro Football Focus with a grade of 71.6 out of 100 which is not awful. I expect him to improve because he is another year removed from knee surgery. Right tackle Brandon Shell in the third year of his rookie contract, ranked the 44th best tackle in the league. Shell has improved every year and the Jets may have found a good one there. He does have a lot of trouble with athletic, quick edge pass rushers and has not shown me he can handle them one on one. To me the big question mark is Brian Winters who went down last year with a horrific injury tearing his abdomen and abductor muscles in week two against the Raiders. Winters tried playing through the pain and wound up playing 13 games before landing on the injured reserve list in December. If we get the Brian Winters from two years ago, when he was above average and pretty solid, it would be great! He is still only 26 years old. Last year his play was not good because of the injury and he had too many penalties. The Jets have brought in a number of un-drafted free agent offensive lineman. Among them Austin Golson from Auburn has the best chance to stick because of his versatility playing all the positions on the offensive line. The bottom line is the coaching must feel they are in good shape with the offensive line. The way they play in the 
pre-season may determine the plan for Sam Darnold. It would be stupid to play Darnold if there is no improvement in the OL. Let’s hope the coaches know best!

Below is a stat sheet that combines sacks plus quarterback hits. Even though the Jets total of 144 ranked 9th from the bottom, they were not as bad as Jet fans may have thought. 

Team               Sacks   +    QB Hits        Total
1.Oakland           24             51                75
2.New Orleans    20             58                78
3.Baltimore         27             59                86
4.Pittsburgh        24             65                 89
5.LA Chargers    18             76                 94
6.Jacksonville     24             78                 102
6.LA Rams         28             74                 102
7.Giants              34             70                 104
7.Cincinnati        40             64                 104
8.Carolina           35             70                 105
9.Tennessee        35             71                 106
10.Atlanta           24             87                 111
11.Miami            33             79                 112
12.Dallas            32             81                 113
13.Minnesota      27             87                114
14.New England 35             84                119
15.KC                 37             83                120
16.Chicago         39             84                 123
17.Buffalo          47             90                 137
18.Washington   41             98                 139
19.Tampa Bay    40            100                140
19.Detroit           47             93                 140
20.Philadelphia  36            107                 143
21.Jets                47             97                 144
22.Green Bay     51            104                155
23.Denver          52            104                 156
24.49ers             43            116                 159
25.Seattle           43            121                 164
26.Indianapolis  56            113                  169
27.Houston        54            117                  171
28.Arizona         52            123                  175
29.Cleveland      50            130                 180

Jets Last Eight Years
          Sacks   +    QB Hits    Total     Team Record       Starting Quarterbacks

2017       47            97           144           5-11         Josh McCown (13) / Bryce Petty (3)
2016       35            95           130           5-11        Ryan Fitzpatrick (11) Geno Smith (1) Bryce Petty (4)
2015       22            71            93           10-6         Ryan Fitzpatrick (16)
2014       47            96           143           4-12        Geno Smith (13) / Michael Vick (3)
2013       47            98           145           8-8          Geno Smith (16)
2012       47            76           123           6-10        Mark Sanchez (15) / Greg McElroy (1)
2011       40            70           110           8-8          Mark Sanchez (16)
2010       28            52            80           11-5         Mark Sanchez (16)

Around the AFC East
Buffalo Bills
…..Bills three day rookie mini-camp opened today…..The Bills signed four draft picks and twelve un-drafted free agents…..GM Brandon Beane said he had extensive talks with Browns GM John Dorsey about moving up for the 4th pick of the draft. Just didn’t work out…..

Miami Dolphins
…..According to Ben Volin of the Boston Globe Dolphins owner Stephen Ross wanted to trade back a few picks and save money in the first round. He was talked out of it as the Dolphins picked the player they wanted Minkah Fitzpatrick…..Dolphins third-year coach Adam Gase said Thursday he’s happy with the roster it’s taken him two-plus years to construct. “It feels right for us right now,” Gase said. “I feel like we’re in a good place. It feels like we’ve got the type of people all working in the same direction and working toward... 

New England Patriots
…..According to ESPN's Mike Reiss, left guard Joe Thuney is preparing for upcoming foot surgery that "isn't considered anything that should threaten his availability for the 2018 season," but will keep him off the field during passing camp practices…..From USA Today:The offensive line remains a concern, especially if Isaiah Wynn doesn’t make an impact as a rookie…..Belichick got a prototypical Patriot slot receiver in the seventh round in 5-9 Braxton Berrios of Miami. Belichick himself scouted the Hurricanes' pro day. He returns punts, too, cut from the Wes Welker mold. 


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