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Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Green Rewind Draft 1.0

Breaking news: 

WR Breshad Perriman signing with Jets for 1 year, up to $8M.

Trivia Time!
In the history of the NY Jets and before that the Titans, how many different training facilities have they had?  Try and name half of them. Answer at the end of this issue.

Important Phone Numbers And Contact Information For Coronavirus In the Tri-State Area


Call: 211 for general information, or 1-(800)-962-1253 for clinical questions | Text: “NJCOVID” to 898-211

Healthy people with questions can call United Way's 2-1-1 line or text "CTCOVID" to 898211.

The NFL Draft
The stock market and NFL draft have some common elements. You can do as much research as you can 24/7 and you can still miss. We like to think that players rated with a first or second round grade are can't miss and as we Jet fans know this is not necessarily true. You can sometimes do better in the late rounds (TB12, 6th round) and with un-drafted free agents (Robby Anderson) than in the early rounds. General Managers earn their keep discovering later round picks that become gems. The Jets have had awful drafts the last few years and not only does this set a franchise back but it does little to attract free agents so you end up overpaying and it becomes a vicious cycle. Look at the Jets 2014 draft:

RD. PLAYER,          POS.    
1 Calvin Pryor,         S        
2 Jace Amaro,         TE        
3 Dex McDougle,    CB
4 Jalen Saunders,   WR
4 Shaq Evans,         WR          
4 Dakota Dozier,      OL
5 Jeremiah George, LB
6 Brandon Dixon,     CB
6 Quincy Enunwa,   WR
6 IK Enemkpali,        LB
6 Tajh Boyd,             QB          
7 Trevor Reilly,         LB

If you told me that some foreign power was trying to sabotage the New York Jets 2014 draft that year, I'd believe it. How did GM John Idzik ever draft so bad? They had 12 picks and this was 6 years ago which is far from an eternity and only one player, Quincy Enunwa is still active. This was a total disaster and getting rid of Idzik was as good as getting a 10 year starter in the 7th round. This draft set the Jets back years. Moving ahead 3 years to 2017 and it was Mike Macaggnan's turn:

RD.      Player,            POS.
1       Jamal Adams,       S
2       Marcus Maye,       S
3       ArDarius Stewart, WR
4       Chad Hansen,      WR
5       Jordan Leggat,     TE
5       Dylan Donahue,   DL
6       Elijah McGuire,    RB
6       Jeremy Clark,      CB
6       Derrick Jones,     CB

Except for the 1st and 2nd round, this draft was a complete bust. Nothing really worked with the other players. Elijah McGuire has some good games but never got better. ArDarius Stewart was  awful as was most of the other players. Looking at both these drafts the Jets had 12 and 9 picks and they still only come up with Jamal Adams and Marcus Maye. Really incredible!

At the other end of the spectrum let's look at the 2017 draft of the New Orleans Saints which many consider one of the most successful drafts in this decade. By circumstances the Saints had multiple first and third round picks but only one pick after the third round. It was an amazingly successful draft. This is how you build a foundation.

          2017 New Orleans Saints
RD.     Player                          Pos.  
1      Marshon Lattimore         DB     
1      Ryan Ramcyk                  T       
2      Marcus Williams              S       
3      Alvin Kamara                  RB       
3      Alex Anzalone,                LB      
3      Trey Hendrickson            DE      
6      Al-Quadin Muhammad    DE      

My Own Draft Philosophy
Because the NFL draft is such a crap shoot, that unless I need a franchise quarterback or there is a sure blue chip right in front of me, I like to trade down to accumulate multiple picks and spread the risk. With that said it is still a skill to pick players and scouting departments have to focus on how the players actually play on the field and have to ignore any lobbying from college coaches, agents and owners. I wrote about this before but I love the philosophy Bill Parcells had when picking players. And keep in mind the Tuna was not the best draft picker when he first began to do it. Parcells would say that when he is evaluating talent he likes to dig deep into game films when the player's team is getting blown out and see if the player's motor is still going 100% in the fourth quarter. He would even search out high school games film to look at the same thing.  Draft prospects can run the best 40 yard dash, score high on the Wonderlic Test (an NFL IQ Test) or have an incredible standing high jump but the bottom line is how they perform on the field. For every Vernon Gholston, Dee Milliner or Quinton Coples that looks the part and is a bust there are some Brad Smiths and Leon Washingtons (both 4th round picks) that can be had if the team does their homework. I run youth baseball coaches clinics around the country and I always tell coaches "don't overcoach and underteach your players." With regards to the draft I would say something similar, “don't over evaluate and just watch the player play.” 

Green Rewind's Mock Draft 1.0
This mock draft is a straight no trade first round. It was done right before Robby Anderson signed with Carolina and Breshad Perriman signing with Jets. Our next draft will reflect these moves. Below I have put in the Jets picks for the rest of their rounds. No doubt on or before draft day there will be movement by teams trading up or down. I'd look for the following teams to trade either up or down in this year's draft.

Possible Teams Trading Up 
Miami, LA Chargers, Jacksonville Jaguars,Las Vegas Raiders, New England Patriots,
Green Bay Packers

Possible Teams Trading Down
New York Jets, New York Giants, Detroit Lions,Carolina Panthers,Arizona Cardinals,

1. Cincinati Bengals, Joe Burrow, QB, LSU, Don't believe anyone who says they are trading out. Best QB in draft for QB needy team

2. Washington Redskins, Chase Young, DE/OLB, Ohio State, As dominant as he was, his play slipped the last 3 games. Giants GM Gettleman loves him. Trade?

3. Detroit Lions, Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama, Could trade out of spot but I believe Matt Patricia likes Matt Stafford as much as Bruce Arians liked Jameis Winston.

4. NY Giants, Tristan Wirfs, OT, Iowa, Gettleman gets another hog molly to help protect very talented Daniel Jones unless he moves up for Chase Young. 

5. Miami Dolphins, Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon, Lions ruined Dolphins Tua plan but Fish don't flinch and chose Herbert.

6. LA Chargers,Jordan Love QB, Utah State, Really wanted Herbert but TB12 really ruined their plans so Chargers take supposed Mahomes clone.

7. Carolina Panthers,Isaiah Simmons LB, Clemson, NYC born coach Matt Rhule is conflicted between OL and defense. He takes Simmons knowing championships are built on "D."

8. Arizona Cardinals,Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville, The second of the four blue chip tackles goes off the board as Kliff Kingsbury solidifies protection for Kyler Murray.

9. Jacksonville Jaguars,Jedrick Wills, OT, Alabama, The dominos continue to fall as Bronx born Doug Marone drafts an offensive lineman like he'll be around after this year.

10.Cleveland Browns,Andrew Thomas OL,Georgia. Considered a top 5 pick in January, Brownies continue to upgrade in the trenches after signing T Jack Conklin in free agency.

11.NY Jets,Jeff Okudah CB, Ohio State, GM Joe Douglas was salivating on Thomas. Missing by one pick Okudah is the best 1st runner up on the board and 1st shut down corner since Revis.

12.Las Vegas Raiders, Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama, Jon Gruden wanted WR CD Lamb but GM Mike Mayock 4 hour filibuster convinces Gruden Jeudy is the more polished with the same upside as Lamb.

13.San Francisco 49ers (from IND).Javon Kinlaw, DL, South Carolina, Kinlaw is the best pass-rushing defensive lineman in this draft class and 49ers need a replacement for DeForest Buckner.

14.Tamps Bay Buccaneers,Josh Jones, OL, Houston, A reach at 14 after Bucs tried to trade down with no takers. Bucs OL ranked 7th last yr in pass protection but commitment to TB12 adds quality.

15.Denver Broncos, Derrick Brown, DL, Auburn, John Elway can't understand why Brown is available after Broncos had him ranked in the top 10.

16.Atlanta Falcons,K'Lavon Chaisson, Edge, LSU, With a defensive efficiency ranking of 24th in the league and living with the blown Super Bowl, Dan Quinn is intent on building defense.

17.Dallas Cowboys,Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU, Boys' missed  Chaisson by one pick but they need help in the secondary.

18.Miami Dolphins(from Steelers),CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma, Fish brain trust cannot believe Lamb was available. Herbert will have a target to hit for a long time.

19.Las Vegas Raiders (from Bears),A.J. Epenesa, Edge, Iowa, Ranking 32nd in Defensive efficiency, Epenesa is the best player on the Raiders board.

20.Jacksonville Jaguars (from Rams),Kenneth Murray,LB,Oklahoma, After going offense with their 1st pick, Jags take Murray who is considered a great leader and one to change the culture.

21.Philadelphia Eagles,Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama, GM Howie Roseman likes taller wide receivers but the 5'11" Ruggs is too good to pass up at 21.

22.Minnesota (from Bills) CJ Henderson, CB, Florida, Vikings secondary is depleted and Henderson is the perfect fit.

23.NE Patriots,Zack Baun, LB, Wisconsin, A reach for BB but Baun is perfect for his defense and he has got to replace the 3 linebackers that just left.

24.NO Saints,Jacob Eason, QB, Washington, A 2nd round grade but Sean Peyton in quarantine had time to review his film, overlooks his rawness and falls in love with his throws in tight windows.

25.Minn. Vikings,Justin Jefferson,WR, LSU, Jefferson comes from a great bloodline. His numbers last year at LSU were staggering, 111 receptions and 18 TDs.

26.Miami Dolphins,(from Texans)-Neville Gallimore,DL,Oklahoma, Coach Flores finally gets to pick defense. Gallimore has a motor that never stops whether up or down by 40.

27.Seattle Seahawks,Trevon Diggs CB,Alabama, A converted WR who is something of a project but his athleticism and small sample size as CB is too tempting to pass up for Pete Carroll.

28.Balt. Ravens,D'Andre Swift,RB, Georgia, Maybe the most talented back in college. In 3 years at Georgia he averaged over 6 yards/rush and 9 yards/rec. A perfect weapon for Lamar Jackson.

29.Tenn. Titans,Jeff Gladney,CB,TCU, Secondary is an issue that needs improvement with players leaving. Gladney is one of the best cover men in college no one knows about.

30.GB Packers,Tee Higgins, WR, Clemson, One of the many blue chip receivers who should start. Another weapon for the Cheeseheads whose 19.8 yards per reception has Aaron Rodgers salivating.

31.SF 49ers,A.J. Terrell, Clemson, DB, A  player who has gotten better every year at Clemson. His pick six off Tua Tagovailoa is tattooed in DC Robert Saleh head.

32. KC Chiefs, Austin Jackson,OL, USC, Wanted Josh Jones but Jackson fits the bill. This Phoenix native measures 6'6', 310 lbs. His grandfather Melvin Jackson played OL for USC and GB Packers. 

New York Jets
1. Jeff Okudah CB, Ohio State, Okudah is a top 5 talent. If teams get QB draft day crazy and the 4 tackles go early, this could happen and Jet fans should rejoice.

2. Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor, Mims is a long-striding outside target with excellent height, weight and speed and an insane catch-radius. He's a touchdown threat anytime he's near the red zone.

3. Ezra Cleveland, OL, Boise St. Athletic left tackle able to make all outside zone blocks in the run game. He must increase his strength.

3. Julian Okwara, Edge, Notre Dame, Four year player who was banged up in 2019. Still had 15 1/2 career sacks and 24 tackles for a loss. Getting better every year and has great upside.

4. Darryl Williams, OL, Mississippi State, Williams is a developmental prospect who will need coaching before seeing the field. This could be a hit or miss. A chance pick for depth.

5. Darrell Mooney, WR, Tulane, An undersized speedster (40 Time: 4.38.), his gateway to the 53 man NFL roster is special teams. His slight frame will be a negative but you can't teach speed.

6. Javaris Davis, CB, Auburn, Another undersize blazer(40 Time: 4.39) who has a long shot to make the team. Again special teams will win him an NFL spot.

6. La'Darius Hamilton, Edge, North Texas, A sleeper pick who after undistinguished freshman and sophomore years, had 7 1/2 sacks as a Jr. and 8 1/2 sacks as a Sr.

What the Jet scribes are saying….
Rich Cimini, ESPN
Thin at cornerback after releasing their 2019 starters, the New York Jets agreed to terms Sunday with former Indianapolis Colts cornerback Pierre Desir, a source confirmed. Desir, 29, released Saturday by the Colts, will sign a one-year contract, another source said. The Jets were in the market for a cornerback after parting ways with Darryl Roberts and Trumaine Johnson in recent days. They re-signed nickelback Brian Poole but still needed help on the outside. They turned to Desir after he was unexpectedly released. A year ago, he signed a three-year, $22.9 million extension with the Colts, but his play slipped last season despite a career-high three interceptions. The Jets have been active in the second wave of free agency. On Saturday, they finalized deals with three players, bringing their total to six outside free agents. Only two have come on defense, Desir and former Los Angeles Rams safety Marqui Christian.

Brian Costello, NY Post
The Jets still have plenty of roster holes to fill as the second week of free agency gets under way. General manager Joe Douglas has shown he is a bargain shopper and there should be bargains to be had now that the first wave of free agency is over. There will be players who expected big paydays ready to settle for short-term deals for less money. With that in mind, here are five players still on the market who could make sense for the Jets:

Breshad Perriman, WR
Douglas was with the Ravens when they drafted Perriman in the first round in 2015, so there is some familiarity there. Perriman did not develop in Baltimore the way the Ravens had hoped, but he had a decent 2019 season for the Buccaneers. The 26-year-old had 36 catches for 645 yards and six touchdowns. He had three 100-yard receiving performances in Tampa Bay’s final three games.

Logan Ryan, CB
The Jets were never getting into the big-money cornerback market, so they watched Byron Jones go to the Dolphins and James Bradberry join the Giants. The position remains a huge need for them. Gregg Williams found a way to scheme around their deficiencies last year. The Jets should give him some better players this year. Ryan is the best cornerback left on the market. An NFL Network report said he was willing to play on a one-year deal, but is seeking $10 million. I’m not sure if Douglas will go that high, but the price could come down soon as the days drag on.

Jimmy Smith, CB
The longtime Raven remains on the market and his price tag could be low. The 31-year-old could provide a veteran presence for the Jets, something they need in the secondary. Smith has had off-field issues in Baltimore, but Douglas and his right-hand man, Chad Alexander, a longtime Ravens scout, both know Smith well. The Jets debated drafting Smith in 2011, but went with Muhammad Wilkerson instead. Maybe now he will become a Jet.

Joe Flacco, QB
You may be sensing a theme with former Ravens. Douglas was the scout who pushed for Baltimore to draft Flacco in 2008. The Jets need a veteran backup for Sam Darnold, and Flacco makes a lot of sense. One thing that has to be cleared up before Flacco goes anywhere is his health. The 35-year-old suffered a neck injury last year and was released with a failed physical designation by the Broncos last week. If Flacco is healthy, he might be the perfect backup for Darnold, who has missed six games in his first two years.

Cameron Wake, OLB
We have gone with a lot of players with connections to Douglas, but here is one with a connection to coach Adam Gase. Wake played three seasons for Gase with the Dolphins. The 38-year-old only played nine games with the Titans last year as he battled injuries. He had 2.5 sacks. He had 10.5 sacks in 2017, which is not that long ago, and he could provide leadership in the locker room.

The New York Titans And New York Jets have had 7 different training locations.
Training Camp Locations 

From To Location                                                 City      State
2015 2019 Atlantic Health Training Center Florham Park New Jersey
2012 2014 SUNY Cortland                        Cortland           New York
2011 2011 Jets' Training Facility                Florham Park New Jersey
2009 2010 SUNY Cortland                         Cortland           New York
1968 2008 Hofstra University                     Hempstead New York
1963 1967 Peekskill Military Academy           Peekskill New York
1962 1962 East Stroudsburg State       East Stroudsburg  Pennsylvania
1961 1961 Bear Mountain Inn                     Bear Mountain New York
1960 1960 University of New Hampshire    Durham          New Hampshire

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